The Times Leader in Princeton (Caldwell County) published a story yesterday about the town hall meeting that U.S. Rep. Ed Whitfield (R) held last weekend.
In the story was this disturbing passage:
As the nation’s baby boomers become retirees and senior citizens, Social Security payouts will soon exceed the program’s revenues.
“We know that in about the year 2014 or 2015, there’s going to be more money going out than coming in,” he said. The government will have to make up the difference, he added, most likely by borrowing funds.
Assuming this story is accurate, Whitfield's comments about the state of Social Security shows that he is either very ill-informed or utilizing political scare tactics.
First of all, on a smaller point, the Congressional Budget Office in its June 2006 update projects that not until 2019 will expenditures exceed revenues. The 2006 Social Security Trustees' report put that date at 2017. In either case, Whitfield needs to get better data on that threshold.
But what is particularly egregious is Whitfield's assertion that when expenditures exceed revenue (be it 2014, 2017 or 2019) the "government will have to make up the difference...by borrowing funds."
According to the most recent financial data available at the Social Security Administration's own website, the Social Security Trust Fund is sitting on assets of $1.994 trillion.
Yes, trillion.
Not until 2042 (SSA) or 2046 (CBO) would we have to borrow money to "make up the difference." I'm just hoping that the story erroneously reported Whitfield's remarks and that he's not this misinformed or would stoop to political scare tactics when discussing Social Security.
In case you need a primer on how the agency handles its revenue, expenditures and the Trust Fund:
What happens to the taxes that go into the trust funds? Tax income is deposited on a daily basis. That part not immediately needed to pay benefits or administrative expenses is invested by purchasing "special issue" securities. The cash exchanged for the securities goes into the general fund of the Treasury and is indistinguishable from other cash in the general fund.
If all the income is invested, how do benefits get paid each month? Money to cover expenditures (mainly benefit payments) from the trust funds comes from the redemption or sale of securities held by the trust funds. When "special-issue" securities are redeemed, interest is paid. In fact, the principal amount of special issues redeemed, plus the corresponding interest, is just enough to cover an expenditure.
What were the amounts of securities bought and sold during recent years? The amount bought in 2005 was $931.9 billion, while the amount sold was $759.4 billion.
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