Last week, The New York Times splashed its front-page with a story that highlighted Rudy Giuliani's (R) repeated exaggerations of his mayoral record during his current presidential campaign.
Here's an excerpt:
Discussing his crime-fighting success as mayor, Mr. Giuliani told a television interviewer that New York was “the only city in America that has reduced crime every single year since 1994.” In New Hampshire this week, he told a public forum that when he became mayor in 1994, New York “had been averaging like 1,800, 1,900 murders for almost 30 years.” When a recent Republican debate turned to the question of fiscal responsibility, he boasted that “under me, spending went down by 7 percent.”
All of these statements are incomplete, exaggerated or just plain wrong. And while, to be sure, all candidates use misleading statistics from time to time, Mr. Giuliani has made statistics a central part of his candidacy as he campaigns on his record.
I raise this because Jefferson Poole has just posted an excellent account of Giuliani's private fundraiser yesterday in Louisville which appears to further highlight Giuliani's very problem with the truth. Jefferson cites how the fundraiser's host threw out a few statistics of Giuliani's accomplishments as he introduced him (bullet-points which most likely were provided in advance by the Giuliani camp, which in my experience is standard practice for these sorts of events):
He also commended Giuliani for bringing the murders down in New York City so drastically, from about 3,000 a year to more like 500, a figure which could be matched by St. Louis, MO.
In that simple sentence, there are three gross misstatements (and I'm going to assume that Jefferson accurately reported what was said).
First, as Times alludes to in its story above, Giuliani seems to be grossly inflating the number of actual murders in New York City during his tenure. Despite the claim of the rate going "from about 3,000 a year to more like 500," in reality it dropped from 1,946 to 661 -- still an impressive drop -- and has continued to drop during Mayor Michael Bloomberg's (I) current tenure:
- 1990: 2,245
- 1991: 2,154
- 1992: 1,995
- 1993: 1,946
- 1994: 1,561 (Giuliani sworn-in on January 1st)
- 1995: 1,177
- 1996: 983
- 1997: 770
- 1998: 633
- 1999: 671
- 2000: 673
- 2001: 661
- 2002: 588 (Bloomberg sworn-in on January 1st)
- 2003: 597
- 2004: 570
- 2005: 539
- 2006: 596
(Side note: While there's no doubt that murders fell considerably during Giuliani's tenure, it's also worth noting that the drop in NYC's murders largely paralleled a national drop. For example, murders fell nationally by 37 percent during the 1994 to 1999 timeframe (from 24,530 to 15,522), suggesting that the Clinton administration policies and a strong economy also played an important role in the decline that New York experienced.)
Finally, while St. Louis was named the second-most dangerous city in America for 2006, its total number of murders last year was 131, not anywhere close to the 500 that was suggested at the Giuliani event. Seems that Giuliani suffers from the same problem with the truth that Anne Northup (R) warned us had afflicted Governor Fletcher (R).
Given Giuliani's solid record on crime while mayor, you'd think he'd stick to the facts and not constantly embellish them.
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